Corona Virus: Do the Math

do the math corona virus
corona virus: do the math

I came across this thread that predicts that the US is heading for trouble:

I think most people aren’t aware of the risk of systemic healthcare failure due to #COVID19 because they simply haven’t run the numbers yet. Let’s talk math. 1/n

….I’m an engineer. This is what my mind does all day: I run back-of-the-envelope calculations to try to estimate order-of-magnitude impacts….

Spreadsheet of Virus Growth in US
“In absence of extreme interventions, this likely won’t slow significantly until hitting >>1% of susceptible population.”–from above thread

Liz Sprecht then expounds on two subjects, beds and masks. She concludes: “That leaves about 330k beds available nationwide.” So ~330k beds, and if 10% of the US sick people need hospitalization and there are over 3 million sick, then they overwhelm the healthcare system, which can then multiply the death rate from 1-2%* to 10-11%* (per Chris Martenson from his youtube channel). Ditto for masks.

*All estimates, it takes time to get the facts. Just look at the country charts and notice the exponential growth for most countries. That curve has to be flattened by NPI (non pharmaceutical intervention) actions by many people such as social distancing and self-quarantining.

Rip Van Winkle Does Chi Gong

220px-Irvington_statue_of_Rip_van_Winkle
Statue of Rip van Winkle

 I am Rip Van Winkle.

I’m slowly rousing to life again after a long twenty-three year nightmare of fatigue. After this long-time of suffering chronic fatigue, I was finally diagnosed with obstructive sleep apnea, thanks to Obamacare!

So I changed my diet & wear an octopus on my face at night (a cpap machine), and it’s made some real difference. But not enough. So I have keep at it like a detective figuring out why such low conductivity and how to naturally amp it up, without coffee, etc.

I will try & bother my doctor so I can look at the stats the cpap makes. (I’ve looked at a file, and can reader the header, but the data is binary encoded, so I will push to get the format.) So far he hasn’t been willing to give the data to me, although somehow the fact of me having a cpap has (via my providers no doubt) gotten into the hands of internet advertisers, not thru me, so now surfing shows cpap machines in the adverts. Kind of amusing how it’s easier to see my stuff on the internet than it is to get it from my provider.

Chi Gong
Chi Gong

Rip meditates & does Da Chi Gong

So pranayama & Chi Gong then. & Guru meditation. Adi Da says, “I am your capability. Therefore, your capability is Unlimited.” –from the book Love and Blessings.

 

 

 

 

 

Radical Healing

The Basic Principle Of General Health and Well-being In The Only-By-Me Revealed and Given “Radical” Reality-Way Of The Heart, and The Basic Principle Of “Radical” Healing… Is Communion With The Prior Perfection… In Which the bodily human being is arising…

by Adi Da, from Right Life Is Free Participation In Unlimited Radiance.